Anyone want to do Mathhammer? (Ld tests) - Warhammer 40K Fantasy
 

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  1. #1
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    Anyone want to do Mathhammer? (Ld tests)

    Hey all, I was just wondering if there were any mathhammer addicts out there looking for a problem to solve. I know I have seen people's writeups on how well cold-blooded is for lizardmen on average. I was wondering if anyone has done a similar theory-post on how the mark of chaos undivided works, that is, what are the chances with a few different leaderships of passing a panic test with one re-roll. This is especially interesting to me with the new book coming out, and the rumor that Norsemen may get the AWR always allowing re-rolls.


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  3. #2
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    Here are the basic percentages of pass/fail for a base leadership test, a cold-blooded test (roll 3 and pick lowest 2), and also each with a reroll.

    What it shows is that a reroll on base leadership is better than a standard cold-blooded test for leadership >= 7, but lower than 7 has cold-blooded better than a reroll. Of course, a reroll cold-blooded is better at any point.


    Code:
    Leadership: 10		
    Rule: ''	Pass %	With Reroll
    Pass: 33	91.67	99.3061
    Failures: 3	8.33	0.6939
    		
    		
    Leadership: 10		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 212	98.15	99.9658
    Failures: 4	1.85	0.0342
    		
    		
    Leadership: 9		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 30	83.33	97.2211
    Failures: 6	16.67	2.7789
    		
    		
    Leadership: 9		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 205	94.91	99.7409
    Failures: 11	5.09	0.2591
    		
    		
    Leadership: 8		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 26	72.22	92.2827
    Failures: 10	27.78	7.7173
    		
    		
    Leadership: 8		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 193	89.35	98.8658
    Failures: 23	10.65	1.1342
    		
    		
    Leadership: 7		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 21	58.33	82.6361
    Failures: 15	41.67	17.3639
    		
    		
    Leadership: 7		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 174	80.56	96.2209
    Failures: 42	19.44	3.7791
    		
    		
    Leadership: 6		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 15	41.67	65.9761
    Failures: 21	58.33	34.0239
    		
    		
    Leadership: 6		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 147	68.06	89.7984
    Failures: 69	31.94	10.2016
    		
    		
    Leadership: 5		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 10	27.78	47.8427
    Failures: 26	72.22	52.1573
    		
    		
    Leadership: 5		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 113	52.31	77.2566
    Failures: 103	47.69	22.7434
    		
    		
    Leadership: 4		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 6	16.67	30.5611
    Failures: 30	83.33	69.4389
    		
    		
    Leadership: 4		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 77	35.65	58.5908
    Failures: 139	64.35	41.4092
    		
    		
    Leadership: 3		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 3	8.33	15.9661
    Failures: 33	91.67	84.0339
    		
    		
    Leadership: 3		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 43	19.91	35.8559
    Failures: 173	80.09	64.1441
    		
    		
    Leadership: 2		
    Rule: ''		
    Pass: 1	2.78	5.4827
    Failures: 35	97.22	94.5173
    		
    		
    Leadership: 2		
    Rule: 'cold-blooded'		
    Pass: 16	7.41	14.2709
    Failures: 200	92.59	85.7291

  4. #3
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    Thanks for the quick and thorough reply. That is interesting to see on paper, and good, especially considering all of the units in the current list are leadership 7+ except for hounds. Hopefully they don't bring down any of our units' leaderships to compensate. Of course, we are still at the disadvantage given that cold-blooded affects all leadership tests, but nice to see that we will come out on top in a few cases.

  5. #4
    /botnobot/ DavidWC09's Avatar
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    Here's a handy page. Not of my creation sadly.

    http://mysite.verizon.net/summarjd/mscl/WHFBstats.pdf
    Painting Videos--My Warriors of Chaos--WHFB Tactica Index
    *************************************************

  6. #5
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    Thanks, that's a good one, it has some other pretty handy additions on it too.

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