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I know it sparks a lot of confusion, and i know a lot of people can't process what they read as half as well as they think, so i thought i'd mathhammer for you guys:
Emperor's Tarot costs a hefty 15 points and is not the most reliable wargear in the world, but its not terrible.
what it does: it allows a SEPARATE roll before rolling to see who goes first. 30/36 of the time, you will gain +1 to your roll, and 6/36 of the time, you will get -1 to your roll (consult the matrix below)
__1_2_3_4_5_6
1_D_L_L_L_L_L
2_w_D_L_L_L_L
3_w_w_D_L_L_L
4_w_w_w_D_L_L
5_w_w_w_w_D_L
6_w_w_w_w_w_D
normally, you have an even chance of winning or losing. [42%] or (15/36)
Now, with the +1 to your roll, the draw line moves rightwards. (with a -1 to your roll, the draw line moves leftwards).
Assuming you have a +1, you have a 62% chance of going first.
Assuming you have a -1, you have a 38% chance of going first.
Leveling those off (5/6 * 62 + 1/6 * 38 ), you have a 58% chance of going first)
58% chance - 42% chance = 16% chance to go first with emperor's tarot.
stealing initiative is already calculated in numbers.
at first glance, it looks similar to my own statistical analysis.
check out Farmpunk's blog:
the Back 40k
i assume this means that at further analysis, they are different. i dont even know what yours looks like, nor am i going to bother sifting through pages of forum threads looking to see if anyone's done the math before. i'm sure it has been done. i'm just slightly agitated since someone who i was playing against, while i was using emperor's tarot, explained it to me in such a wrong way that he ended up going first anyways.
+16% chance of choosing first turn.
nice! and thats without extra favor from dice gods
how did he explain it to you?
this is soooo pointless, who cares, rofl, waste of 15 points
and i mean the wargear, not what your mathhammer
wouldnt say its a waste, im wondering why more people ally Inq. buy this thing and i never see it in a DH list...