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First off I am not a PHD, so my results mean nothing. I know this I got to pondering Psybolt ammunition and decided it was time to re-evaluate dreadnoughts specifically for Grey Knights. This chart only includes the probability of a single volley direct immobilized or better (no multiple weapon destroyed). Each line assumes the dread is in firing range for all weapons (half range for meltas). I assumed the dreads all have psybolt ammunition as well.
The formula used was :
Pk = Probability of Kill
P1 = Probability of a single roll of a single dice getting the kill
Ph = Probability of hit
Pp = Probability of pen
Pg = Probability of glance
Pkp = Probability of a pen landing a kill
Pkg = Probability of a glance landing a kill
N = Number of shots
P1 = (Ph * Pp * Pkp) + (Ph * Pg * Pkg)
Pk = 1-(1-P1)^N
For multiple weapons of differing types I used the following:
Pk1 = first weapon Pk
Pk2 = second weapon Pk
Pk = 1-((1-Pk1)*(1-Pk2))
I did not include missile launchers or TL Lascannons because both of them performed terribly across the board. They did not shine anywhere in the spectrum, so I cut them to make the chart easier to read. I was surprised by how bad the TL Lascannon did.. it was worse than all options on the table on anything but AV14, and against AV14 it barely did better than the TL ACs (which were terrible against AV14).
I am primarily looking for something to help pop transports to aid in establishing local supremacy. Psycannons are a decent weapon vs any target in the game, so the rest of my list will be psycannon spam. Since i am taking the dreads for long range transport popping, there is no question after I see this graph... psyfleman dreads for me
I like this alot, sticky?
Can you add a psybolt ammo line?
Im surprised to see Auto cannon+ assault cannon doing so well.
Then maybe auto/assault cannons with psy bolt ammo, line for them as well?
Eldar -APOC- 6500 Points
Chaos Daemons -Fate Crusher- 3500 Points
Grey knights - 1000 Points
How about a TLLC + TLAC?
=][= ☠ Ecce Inquisitor Curiae. Ausculta et obsequere. ☠ =][=
Include a 12"-24" calculation for the Melta Dreads?